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人口红利

經濟學上,人口紅利(英語:demographic dividend)是指因為勞動人口在總人口中的比例上升,所伴隨的經濟成長效應。它通常發生在人口转型時期晚期,此時因為生育率下降,使得受撫養的青幼年人口減少[1]。當人口负担系数小于或等于50%,此時称为人口机会窗口期。

歷史

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這個理論在1998年,首次由哈佛大學教授大卫·布鲁姆杰弗瑞·威廉姆森所提出。這一派學者認為,人口紅利在亞洲四小龍與1990年代凯尔特之虎的經濟發展中扮演重要角色。這兩位經濟學家認為1965年至1990年東亞經濟增長(以人均收入衡量)中有至多三分之一都可能要歸功於人口結構變化所帶來的人口紅利。

参考文献

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  1. ^ 人口红利减弱 中国制造如何扬长避短页面存档备份,存于互联网档案馆) 中国经济网 2014-06-01

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人口红利
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