Post-election pendulum for the 1996 Victorian state election
The following is a Mackerras pendulum for the 1996 Victorian state election.
"Very safe" seats require a swing of over 20 per cent to change, "safe" seats require a swing of 10 to 20 per cent to change, "fairly safe" seats require a swing of between 6 and 10 per cent, while "marginal" seats require a swing of less than 6 per cent.
Notes
[edit]- 1 In December 1996, the Liberal member for Gippsland West, Alan Brown, resigned. Independent candidate Susan Davies won the resulting by-election on 1 February 1997.
- 2 On 11 November 1997, the Liberal member for Mitcham, Roger Pescott, resigned. Labor candidate Tony Robinson won the resulting by-election on 13 December 1997.
- 3 On 3 July 1998, the Labor member for Northcote, Tony Sheehan, resigned. Labor candidate Mary Delahunty won the resulting state by-election on 15 August 1998.
- 4 The member for Frankston East, Peter McLellan, was elected as a member of the Liberal Party, but resigned on 24 July 1998 and subsequently served out the remainder of his term as an independent.
References
[edit]- Green, Antony (December 1998). "1996 Victorian State Election: Summary of Results" (PDF). ABC Election Unit. Retrieved 24 December 2011.
- Green, Antony (June 2001). "1999 Victorian State Election: Summary of Results" (PDF). ABC Election Unit. Retrieved 24 December 2011.
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